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Vanguard’s latest Capital Markets Model suggests a surprising possibility: cash could outperform stocks over the next decade. Their 10-year annualized nominal return forecast for U.S. equities sits at 2.8%–4.8%, while cash is projected to return 3.1%–4.1%.
Across 20 asset classes, a clear theme emerges—the next ten years may look very different from the last. Vanguard expects international markets to outperform U.S. equities and value stocks to outshine growth.
With the AI-driven boom and American exceptionalism in full force, these predictions may seem improbable today. But as the old investing adage goes, "In the short run, valuation doesn’t matter; in the long run, it’s the only thing that does."
At PWM, we don’t claim to know exactly when momentum will shift. That’s why we remain diversified—across markets large and small, foreign and domestic, public and private—positioning for whatever the future holds.
Vanguard Market Perspective
source: Vanguard
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